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Week 5 of the NFL season is upon us, and it’s time to dive into the key games and betting opportunities. After a positive Week 4, we’re looking to build on that momentum.
**Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams**
The Packers’ offense faces a favorable matchup against the Rams’ defense, which is struggling in every metric. The Rams are hoping to return CB Darious Williams to the starting lineup, but their unit remains shaky. I’m buying stock in the Packers offense, led by Jordan Love, who is ripping off explosive passes at a top rate. The bet: over 48.5 total points (-110).
Additionally, I like Josh Jacobs to have 60-plus rushing yards (-135). The Rams’ run defense is just as shaky as their pass defense, and Jacobs is still the No. 1 back in Green Bay.
**Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers**
The Steelers match up well against the Cowboys, who are dealing with injuries to Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence. The Steelers’ running game should dominate against the Cowboys’ rush defense, which is worst in EPA per rush allowed. The bet: Steelers -2.5 (-115).
I also like CeeDee Lamb to have seven-plus receptions. The Steelers play a lot of single-high safety coverages, which Lamb has exploited in the past. The bet: Lamb over 6.5 receptions (-140).
**New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs**
The Chiefs’ offense is struggling without Rashee Rice, and I’m worried about their ability to sustain a high volume of targets. The Saints’ defense is a little tricky to figure out, but they’re pretty good, especially in the cornerback room. The bet: under 43.5 total points (-115).
Additionally, I like Patrick Mahomes to have under 224.5 passing yards (+110). Mahomes has only been over once this season, and the Saints’ defense should limit his opportunities.
Other looks and a same-game parlay (SGP) include:
* Commanders TE Zach Ertz UNDER 29.5 receiving yards (-130)
* Dolphins at Patriots UNDER 36.5 total points (-115)
* Ravens QB Lamar Jackson OVER 9.5 rushing attempts (+110)
* Jaguars WR Brian Thomas Jr. 50-plus receiving yards (-135)
* Same-game parlay: Brock Purdy under 274.5 passing yards, James Conner 60-plus rushing yards, Jordan Mason 90-plus rushing yards and Mason to score (+750)
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