Rookie Quarterbacks Shine in NFL Season
The 2024 NFL draft saw a record six quarterbacks selected in the first round, and so far, they are living up to expectations. Through nearly six weeks of the season, rookie QBs have an impressive 14-6 record against the spread, improving upon the already notable 71-49 record for first-year quarterbacks over the last three seasons.
Top Picks Lead the Way
Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels, the top two picks in the draft, have been particularly impressive. They have both covered with their teams again on Sunday, although this time as underdogs. Bo Nix, another rookie QB, has a respectable 4-2 ATS record as a starter, but his luster has dimmed slightly after being the most bet-on QB to throw an interception on Sunday.
New Additions Shift the Narrative
However, the addition of more rookie QBs to the mix may drag down the hot betting start for this subset of players. Drake Maye and Spencer Rattler both made their NFL debuts on Sunday and got blown out as home underdogs. This was great news for the public, as bettors were happy to go against the rookie QBs.
Betting Trends
Sunday was a bad day for bookmakers, but excellent for the betting public. NFL favorites ruled the day, winning 9-of-11 games straight-up and covering the spread in seven of them. The two underdogs who won had been favored for much of the week before influential money hit the market, causing the lines to flip.
Notable Bets and Odds
Some notable bets and odds from the weekend include:
- A Caesars Sportsbook customer placing a $145,000 in-game money-line bet on the Saints at -145 odds during their game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
- Joe Burrow scoring the first touchdown in Sunday night’s Bengals-Giants contest at +3000 odds.
- A customer with Caesars Sportsbook in Arizona putting $3,210.12 on the Bengals to win the Super Bowl at 35-1 before Sunday night’s game against the Giants.
Week 7 Game Lines
Looking ahead to Week 7, some notable game lines include:
- Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints: Saints pick ’em, 37
- New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: Jaguars -5.5, 41.5
- Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons: Falcons -2.5, 49
Odds by ESPN BET
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