**Get Ready to Fucking Win: MNF Picks for Jags-Bills & WFT-Cincy**

Get ready for an exciting Monday night of football as two teams battle it out in Week 3 of the NFL season. The undefeated Buffalo Bills, led by quarterback Josh Allen, will host the struggling Jacksonville Jaguars, led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence, at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. Later, the Washington Commanders, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, will travel to face the winless Cincinnati Bengals, led by quarterback Joe Burrow, at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN+.

Both home teams are favored to win, with the Bills predicted to score plenty of points against the Jaguars’ struggling defense. Meanwhile, the Bengals are expected to bounce back from their slow start against the Commanders.

Here are the key stats and betting trends for each game:

**Bills vs. Jaguars**

* Spread: Bills (-5.5)
* Money line: Bills (-250), Jaguars (+210)
* Over/Under: 45.5
* First-half spread: Bills -3.5 (-105)/Jaguars +3.5 (-125)
* Trevor Lawrence total passing yards: O/U 224.5 yards (Even/-130)
* Josh Allen total passing yards: O/U 224.5 yards (-125/+105)
* James Cook total rushing yards: O/U 69.5 (+110/-140)

**Bengals vs. Commanders**

* Spread: Bengals (-7)
* Money line: Bengals (-350), Commanders (+280)
* Over/Under: 46.5
* First-half spread: Bengals -4.5 (Even)/Commanders +3.5 (-135)
* Joe Burrow total passing yards: O/U 274.5 (+110/-140)
* Jayden Daniels total passing yards: O/U 199.5 (-105/-125)
* Brian Robinson Jr. total rushing yards: O/U 59.5 (Even/-130)

Our expert analyst picks:

* Bills -5.0: The Bills are clicking on both sides of the ball, and their home advantage should give them an edge over the struggling Jaguars.
* Keon Coleman over 34.5 receiving yards: Coleman led all Bills receivers in snaps and routes run in Week 2 and should see plenty of targets against the Jaguars’ vulnerable secondary.
* Christian Kirk over 39.5 receiving yards: Kirk should be more involved against the Bills, especially with Evan Engram and Taron Johnson sidelined.
* Brian Thomas Jr. over 39.5 receiving yards: Thomas has been making the most of his chances, leading the Jaguars with 3.2 yards of separation on his targets.

Betting trends:

* The Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as road underdogs.
* The Bills are 2-6 ATS in prime time over the last two seasons.
* Joe Burrow is 2-7 ATS when at least a 7-point favorite, including playoffs.
* Underdogs of at least six points are 8-0 ATS this season.

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