The wait is over, and the new football season is finally upon us! With it comes the return of expert analysis and insightful statistics to help you make informed betting decisions. Every Sunday morning, we’ll be diving into the numbers that matter most, separating the meaningful trends from the noise.
When pouring over the data, it’s essential to evaluate each stat individually to determine its relevance. A team’s impressive record against a specific division, for instance, may not hold much weight due to constant roster changes and varying team dynamics. On the other hand, a coach’s exceptional performance after a bye week or a team’s consistent success as a road underdog can be telling signs.
This week, we’ll be focusing on the following matchups, with lines courtesy of the Draftkings Sportsbook:
New England Patriots (4-13, 5-11-1 ATS) @ Cincinnati Bengals (9-8, 7-8-2 ATS) – 1 PM on CBS
CIN -7.5 T 40.5
Historically, taking big favorites in Week 1 has proven to be a risky move. Week 1 underdogs of more than a touchdown boast a 25-13 ATS record. Additionally, the Bengals have struggled in their early-season games, with Burrow holding a 2-6 ATS record in his first two games of the season. Take the points.
Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8, 9-8 ATS) @ Miami Dolphins (11-6, 10-7 ATS) – 1 PM on CBS
MIA -3.5 T 49
The Dolphins have excelled in September under Mike McDaniel, boasting a 6-1 ATS record. They’ve also performed well in 1 PM home games, with a 9-4 ATS record. Expect them to come out strong.
Tennessee Titans (6-11, 7-9-1 ATS) @ Chicago Bears (7-10, 8-7-2 ATS) – 1 PM on FOX
CHI -4 T 44.5
Despite the hype surrounding the Bears, history suggests they may not start as strongly as expected. Quarterbacks who went #1 overall have a dismal 7-20 ATS record in their first start since 1970. Take the Titans.
Dallas Cowboys (12-5, 10-7 ATS) @ Cleveland Browns (11-6, 10-6-1 ATS) – 4:25 PM on FOX
CLE -2.5 T 41
Unders have been a reliable bet in Week 1 games since the NFL shortened the preseason, with a 32-16 record. The Browns have also gone under in 10 of their last 13 home games. Expect a defensive battle.
Los Angeles Rams (10-7, 10-6-1 ATS) @ Detroit Lions (12-5, 12-5 ATS) – 8:20 PM on NBC
DET -3.5 T 50.5
Jared Goff has a perfect 7-0 ATS record in Week 1 games and is 25-9 ATS in his last 34 indoor games. With the Rams potentially being one of the league’s biggest disappointments this year, take the Lions.
Stay tuned for more expert analysis and insights throughout the season!
Leave a Reply